{"id":1981,"date":"2024-07-05T10:43:40","date_gmt":"2024-07-05T10:43:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/?p=1981"},"modified":"2024-07-05T10:43:41","modified_gmt":"2024-07-05T10:43:41","slug":"why-la-nina-may-not-form-for-a-while-a-look-at-other-forecasting-techniques-for-summer-global-commodities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/why-la-nina-may-not-form-for-a-while-a-look-at-other-forecasting-techniques-for-summer-global-commodities\/","title":{"rendered":"Why La Ni\u00f1a may not form for a while: A look at other forecasting techniques for summer global commodities"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>\u201cWhy La Ni\u00f1a may not form for a while: A look at other forecasting techniques for summer global commodities\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>by Jim Roemer &#8211; Meteorologist &#8211; Commodity Trading Advisor &#8211; Principal, Best Weather Inc. &amp; Climate Predict &#8211; Publisher, Weather Wealth Newsletter&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u00a0Friday Evening Weekend Report: June 14-16, 2024<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"531\" src=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-78-1024x531.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1982\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-78-1024x531.png 1024w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-78-300x156.png 300w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-78-768x399.png 768w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-78-1536x797.png 1536w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-78.png 1875w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>To View Video &nbsp;<strong>&gt; &nbsp;&gt; &nbsp;&gt; &nbsp; &nbsp;<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=35ySnma-W9g\"><strong>P L E A S E &nbsp; &nbsp; C L I C K &nbsp; &nbsp; H E R E<\/strong><\/a><br>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In this comprehensive weekend video,&nbsp;<em>&nbsp;I &nbsp; a d d r e s s &nbsp; t h e &nbsp; &nbsp;f o l l o w i n g:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>1) A look at recent rainfall maps in the corn belt and&nbsp;<strong>why the grain market has not yet gotten excited about potential hot weather&nbsp;<\/strong>deeper in June or early July;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br>2)&nbsp;<strong>Rainfall forecast for the next 10 days. Some flooding and severe weather are possible in the northwest corn belt.&nbsp;<\/strong>Will this cause some replanting of corn over to soybeans?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br>3)&nbsp;<strong>Strong El Ni\u00f1o events<\/strong>\u2026 How often did they&nbsp;<strong>transition to La Ni\u00f1a?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br>4)&nbsp;<strong>Why El Ni\u00f1o neutral conditions should exist through at least August.&nbsp;<\/strong>What does this mean?&nbsp;<strong>Weather and market volatility with a fluctuating SOI index;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br>5)&nbsp;<strong>Mexico&#8217;s record heat and drought.<\/strong>&nbsp;Indications for July temperatures?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br>6)&nbsp;<strong>A look at soft commodities<\/strong>&nbsp;and market action for orange juice, coffee, and sugar;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br>7)&nbsp;<strong>What does another record-warm winter suggest for summer temperatures?<\/strong>&nbsp;Are sunspots to blame?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u00a0 > > > > ><\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0Not in this video (WeatherWealth subscribers only) is a discussion of cocoa&#8217;s incredible bull market and\u00a0<strong>why I think cocoa prices will eventually head lower.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Please feel free to download a complimentary past issue of WeatherWealth if you have not done so before.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bestweatherinc.com\/weather-wealth-sample\/\"><strong>https:\/\/www.bestweatherinc.com\/weather-wealth-sample\/<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>(If you have requested one already, you may be flagged for having multiple addresses (gmail, yahoo, etc.) from the same I.P. address) Thank you for your cooperation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"390\" height=\"102\" src=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-79.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1983\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-79.png 390w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-79-300x78.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 390px) 100vw, 390px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"861\" height=\"606\" src=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-80.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1984\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-80.png 861w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-80-300x211.png 300w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-80-768x541.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 861px) 100vw, 861px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"847\" height=\"829\" src=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-81.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1985\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-81.png 847w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-81-300x294.png 300w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-81-768x752.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 847px) 100vw, 847px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;Thanks for your interest in commodity weather!<br>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Jim Roemer, Scott Mathews, and The Weather Wealth Team&nbsp;<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><em>Please feel free to learn about Jim Roemer, our track record, and how we use weather to help traders, hedgers, and investors. If you have any questions, please don&#8217;t hesitate to drop me a line \u00a0&#8211;\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"mailto:scott@bestweatherinc.com\"><em>Scott Mathews, Editor<\/em><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Mr. Roemer owns Best Weather Inc., offering weather-related blogs for commodity traders and farmers. He also is a co-founder of Climate Predict, a detailed long-range global weather forecast tool. As one of the first meteorologists to become an NFA registered Commodity Trading Advisor, he has worked with major hedge funds, Midwest farmers, and individual traders for over 35 years. With a special emphasis on interpreting market psychology, coupled with his short and long-term trend forecasting in grains, softs, and the energy markets, he established a unique standing among advisors in the commodity risk management industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Trading futures and options involves a significant risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is no warranty or representation that accounts following any trading program will be profitable.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/barchart-news-media-prod.aws.barchart.com\/IF\/c27ad70c17abcc082959352ce70dcabf\/nm7l5yi7rk6u99sa.png\" alt=\"Nm 7 l 5 yi 7 rk 6 u 99 sa\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u201cYou can&#8217;t change the weather, but you can profit from it\u201d<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>On the date of publication,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barchart.com\/news\/authors\/63\/jim-roemer\">Jim Roemer<\/a>&nbsp;did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barchart.com\/terms#disclosure\">here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cWhy La Ni\u00f1a may not form for a while: A look at other forecasting techniques for summer global commodities\u201d by Jim Roemer &#8211; Meteorologist &#8211; Commodity Trading Advisor &#8211; Principal, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1981","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-inside-futures","category-softs","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1981","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1981"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1981\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1986,"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1981\/revisions\/1986"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1981"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1981"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1981"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}