{"id":1936,"date":"2024-07-05T10:23:54","date_gmt":"2024-07-05T10:23:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/?p=1936"},"modified":"2024-07-05T10:23:54","modified_gmt":"2024-07-05T10:23:54","slug":"vix-and-calendar-spread-and-cocoa-butterfly-spread","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/vix-and-calendar-spread-and-cocoa-butterfly-spread\/","title":{"rendered":"VIX and calendar spread and Cocoa butterfly spread"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>SpreadEdge Capital specializes in seasonal spread trading across a wide variety of commodity markets. A spread trade is the simultaneous purchase and sale of the same commodity with different delivery dates. &nbsp;SpreadEdge publishes a weekly Newsletter that provides several seasonal spread trade opportunities every week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Watch List<\/strong><\/em><br>The SpreadEdge Newsletter includes a \u201cWatch List\u201d of trades that meet our strict screening criteria. \u00a0Included in the Watch List are the markets, commodity symbols, entry and exit dates, win %, average profit, average drawdown, best profit, worst loss, and risk level (using a 1-5 scale). \u00a0All information is hypothetical and is based on the most recent 15 years of historical data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"497\" src=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-54-1024x497.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1937\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-54-1024x497.png 1024w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-54-300x146.png 300w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-54-768x373.png 768w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-54.png 1520w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This week there are 5 trades that are planned for client and personal accounts.&nbsp; This article will focus on the VIX calendar spread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Disclaimer<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. &nbsp;ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.<\/strong><br>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Technical Analysis<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"596\" src=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-55-1024x596.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1938\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-55-1024x596.png 1024w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-55-300x175.png 300w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-55-768x447.png 768w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-55-1200x700.png 1200w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-55.png 1358w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The VIX has been moving lower the past several weeks.\u00a0 It seems most likely that VIX will continue to grind lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Seasonality<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seasonality data is generated by SeasonAlgo. \u00a0Entry and exit dates are analyzed and scored for every expiration month combination.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"754\" src=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-56.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1939\" style=\"width:724px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-56.png 720w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-56-286x300.png 286w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The VIX October, November calendar spread has hypothetically profited in 14 of the past 15 years when entered on July 6 and exited on September 16.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Spread Chart<\/strong><\/em><br>Spread Charts represent the difference between the front and back month contracts and are simply the front month price minus the back month price. \u00a0Spreads that are sold profit when the price gets more negative or less positive. \u00a0Spreads that are bought profit when prices get more positive or less negative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"279\" src=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-57-1024x279.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1940\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-57-1024x279.png 1024w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-57-300x82.png 300w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-57-768x209.png 768w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-57-1536x418.png 1536w, https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-57.png 1940w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>To trade the VIX, I will take profits on the July, August calendar spread and roll out to the October, November calendar spread.&nbsp;The most optimal entry based on the past 15 years of historical data is Saturday which rolls forward to Friday July 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><em><strong>Videos<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/tDNNHjbd2w8\">video of this trade<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Use coupon code \u201cSpreadEdge\u201d and get the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/spreadedgecapital.com\/products\/\">Weekly Newsletter and Daily Alerts<\/a>&nbsp;for $1 for the first month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For a limited time, you can receive my&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/spreadedgecapital.com\/product\/monthly-subscription-to-the-daily-updates-services-and-spreadedge-newsletter-2\/\">Futures Training Videos<\/a>&nbsp;for free with a 3-month, 6-month, or 12-month subscription.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For a FREE eBook about the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/spreadedgecapital.com\/futures-101\/\">SpreadEdge seasonal spread strategy<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>More Information<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The SpreadEdge Weekly Newsletter is published every weekend and provides a broad overview of the important seasonal, technical, and fundamental indicators within the Energy, Grains, Meats, Softs, Metals and Currency markets. &nbsp;In addition, spread trade recommendations and follow-up on open trades is also provided. &nbsp;For a free copy of the Weekly Newsletter, please send an email to info@SpreadEdgeCapital.com<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Darren Carlat<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SpreadEdge Capital, LLC<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(214) 636-3133<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Darren@SpreadEdgeCapital.com<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/spreadedgecapital.com\/\">www.SpreadEdgeCapital.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Disclaimer<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SpreadEdge Capital, LLC is registered as a Commodity Trading Advisor with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is an NFA member.&nbsp;Past performance is not indicative of future results. Futures trading is not suitable for all investors,&nbsp;The risk associated with futures trading is substantial.&nbsp;Only risk capital should be used for these investments because you can lose more than your original investment.&nbsp;This is not a solicitation.<br><em>On the date of publication,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barchart.com\/news\/authors\/62\/darren-carlat\">Darren Carlat<\/a>&nbsp;had a position in:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barchart.com\/quotes\/VIN24\">VIN24<\/a>&nbsp;. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barchart.com\/terms#disclosure\">here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SpreadEdge Capital specializes in seasonal spread trading across a wide variety of commodity markets. A spread trade is the simultaneous purchase and sale of the same commodity with different delivery [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1941,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1936","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-inside-futures","category-softs","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1936","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1936"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1936\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1942,"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1936\/revisions\/1942"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1941"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1936"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1936"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jwilsonpaving.ca\/wilsonfarms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1936"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}