You are currently viewing Cotton is at its lowest hedge fund position for the past 52 weeks. Arabica Coffee is very near its highest level

Cotton is at its lowest hedge fund position for the past 52 weeks. Arabica Coffee is very near its highest level

SpreadEdge Capital specializes in seasonal spread trading across a wide variety of commodity markets. A spread trade is the simultaneous purchase and sale of the same commodity with different delivery dates.  SpreadEdge publishes a weekly Newsletter that provides several seasonal spread trade opportunities every week.

Overview

The Commitment of Traders (COT) report, issued by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), offers a weekly snapshot of the positions taken by different market participants in the U.S. futures markets. This information aids traders and analysts in comprehending market sentiment and developments.  Published every Friday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time, the COT report reflects positions held as of the previous Tuesday’s closing business hours.  Peak Trading Research assesses the latest COT report, examining alterations in price and open interest to provide an appraisal of net fund positioning daily.

Hedge Fund Position Estimates

Cotton

Cotton finish last week at its lowest hedge fund positions for the past 52 weeks.  Note that hedge funds have sold over 132,000 contracts since the high in March.  Hedge funds have plenty of capital to add to their existing positions and can drive prices up quickly when they begin to buy.

Arabica Coffee

Coffee has hovering at or near 60,000 net long positions for the past several weeks and continues to be very near its highest level for the past 52 weeks.  Coffee is 101,000 above its low and almost 45,000 above average.

Soybean Oil and Sugar

Soybean Oil and Sugar are very near their lowest hedge fund positions over the past 52 weeks.

Conclusion

Each of these markets are at or very near extreme levels are likely to reverse in the near future.  I am currently long a Cotton butterfly spread and expect higher prices over the near term.  I’m also looking at positions on some of these other markets.

More Information

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More Information

The SpreadEdge Weekly Newsletter is published every weekend and provides a broad overview of the important seasonal, technical, and fundamental indicators within the Energy, Grains, Meats, Softs, Metals and Currency markets.  In addition, spread trade recommendations and follow-up on open trades is also provided.  For a free copy of the Weekly Newsletter, please send an email to info@SpreadEdgeCapital.com

Darren Carlat

SpreadEdge Capital, LLC

(214) 636-3133

Darren@SpreadEdgeCapital.com

www.SpreadEdgeCapital.com

Disclaimer

SpreadEdge Capital, LLC is registered as a Commodity Trading Advisor with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is an NFA member. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Futures trading is not suitable for all investors, The risk associated with futures trading is substantial. Only risk capital should be used for these investments because you can lose more than your original investment. This is not a solicitation.
On the date of publication, Darren Carlat had a position in: CTZ24 . All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

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